GLOSSARY · RETIREMENT WITHDRAWALS & EARLY ACCESS

Monte Carlo simulation

Testing a retirement plan against thousands of randomly generated market paths instead of one average return, and reporting the share of paths in which the money lasts. The result depends on the return and volatility assumptions fed in; it is a stress test, not a forecast.

Also called: monte carlo retirement, probability of success
COMPUTE IT WITH YOUR NUMBERS
Monte Carlo retirement success →What is the probability my plan survives volatility?
LEARN IT PROPERLY
CHAPTER · RETIREMENT PLANNING FUNDAMENTALS · FOUNDATIONSTurning Savings into IncomeCHAPTER · FIRE: FINANCIAL INDEPENDENCE RETIRE EARLY · DEEP DIVELife After FI: Making the Money Last
RELATED TERMS
Sequence of returns riskWithdrawal rate
SOURCES
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