Tools/Visa-holder finance/Prepay an Education Loan or Invest✓ CHECKED AGAINST WORKED EXAMPLES · SEP 29, 2026

Should I prepay my home-country education loan or invest in dollars?

Compare paying down a loan in another currency with investing the same extra money each month in dollars, taking the loan currency’s change against the dollar into account.

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PREPAY OR INVESTPREPAYING COMES OUT AHEAD
$4,103
A $40,000 loan at 10.00%, with $300 extra a month for 8 years, is finished 3 years 4 months early by prepaying and saves $8,201 of interest. After 15% tax on growth, if investments earn 7.0% a year, the two end $4,103 ahead for prepaying ($3,239 in today’s dollars). Investing comes out ahead only if it earns more than about 11.76% a year in dollars; prepaying earns a certain 10.00% a year, and investing does not.
Loan paid off
4 yr 8 mo
Interest saved
$8,201
Cost in dollars
10.00%
Break-even return
11.76%
UNDERSTAND YOUR RESULT
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Terms:Prepay debt or invest

Investments minus what you still owe, before tax, in future dollars

PrepayInvest
$47k$4k−$40k02468Years from nowLoan paid off: 4 yr 8 moPrepayInvest

Before tax, counting what you still owe, the prepay route is $3,380 ahead after 8 years. At the end it holds $41,486 and owes nothing; the invest route holds $38,106 and owes nothing too, but has paid $8,201 more interest.

Which comes out ahead at different investment returns

Yearly returnPrepay, after taxInvest, after taxAhead
3%$38,595$31,903Prepay by $6,693
5%$39,691$34,204Prepay by $5,487
7% (yours)$40,813$36,710Prepay by $4,103
9%$41,963$39,438Prepay by $2,525
11%$43,140$42,405Prepay by $735

The two are equal at about 11.76% a year. Below it prepaying wins, above it investing wins. The loan costs 10.00% in dollars; tax on the growth pushes the break-even higher.

What moves the needle

Each row re-runs the calculation with one change. Click to apply.

How it's computed

FORMULA
Cost in dollars: monthly rate = (1 + loan rate ÷ 12) ÷ (1 + yearly currency fall)^(1/12) − 1, times 12
Payment = balance × r ÷ (1 − (1 + r)^−n) at that dollar rate
Prepay: the extra goes to principal each month; once the loan is gone the whole payment plus the extra is invested each month
Invest: the loan runs its term and the extra is invested each month; after-tax value = investments − tax rate × growth
  • The loan is treated as costing 10.00% a year in dollars: its own 10.00% rate less the loan currency’s 0.0% yearly move against the dollar. That is an approximation that treats the dollar cost as a level payment at that rate. The currency change is an assumption you set, not a forecast: currencies can swing far from any average.
  • The comparison is in dollars and assumes your income and investments are in dollars. If you will earn or live in the loan’s currency, the currency change does not apply and the loan’s own rate is what matters.
  • Investments earn a steady 7% a year in ordinary dollars, taxed at 15% on the growth at the end. Real returns are not steady and can be negative for years; prepaying earns a certain 10.00% in dollars.
  • Not modelled: any deduction of the loan interest in the home country (some countries allow one to residents), any U.S. treatment of interest on a foreign loan, a prepayment charge, and the cost of sending money abroad.
  • The balance, rate and term are examples until you replace them with the figures on your loan statement. Money sent abroad is hard to bring back; money invested can be sold.
WORKED EXAMPLE · SAMPLE NUMBERS
Cost in dollars: 10.00% less a 0.0% currency move is 10.00%. Payment on $40,000 for 8 years at that rate: $607 a month. Prepay: $907 a month clears the loan in 4 years 8 months, then that amount is invested, reaching $41,486, $40,813 after 15% tax on growth. Invest: $300 a month at 7.0% reaches $38,106, $36,710 after tax, having paid $18,269 of interest.
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Questions about this result

It depends mainly on the loan’s cost in dollars against what you expect to earn investing after tax. Prepaying earns a certain return equal to that cost; investing earns more if markets cooperate and less if they do not. On the example on this page, a $40,000 loan at 10% with $300 extra a month, prepaying comes out ahead of investing at a 7% return.
Your loan payments are a fixed amount of the loan’s currency. If that currency weakens against the dollar, each payment costs you fewer dollars, so the loan is cheaper in dollar terms than its rate suggests; if it strengthens, it is dearer. On the example, a 10% loan in a currency that falls 3% a year against the dollar costs about 7.02% in dollars, and prepaying then comes out $1,016 ahead instead of $4,103.
More than the break-even shown on this page. For the example with no currency change it is about 11.76% a year after a 15% tax on the growth; with the loan currency falling 3% a year it is about 8.24%. In a tax-free account, set the tax to 0.
Then the exchange rate does not change what the loan costs you: leave the currency change at 0 and compare the loan’s rate with what you can earn there. The dollar comparison is for people who earn and invest in dollars while the loan stays in another currency.
Some countries let residents deduct education-loan interest; the U.S. has a student loan interest deduction with its own conditions. This page does not model any of them, so if you can claim one, prepaying saves less than shown.
Exchange-rate swings, deductions of the interest, prepayment charges, the cost of transferring money, and your need for cash: money sent to a lender is hard to get back. It compares two steady paths.
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